Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.186812 0.217072 0.250726 0.290944 0.337719 0.390435 0.454401
2025-03-16 0.138040 0.177849 0.226912 0.291893 0.375824 0.480763 0.622245
2025-03-23 0.113863 0.157495 0.215208 0.297271 0.411241 0.564372 0.786537
2025-03-30 0.094173 0.137976 0.199332 0.291759 0.427935 0.621962 0.920852
2025-04-06 0.080452 0.123877 0.187791 0.289006 0.445963 0.681287 1.063200
2025-04-13 0.070635 0.113695 0.179939 0.289644 0.467755 0.747285 1.222712
2025-04-20 0.065346 0.109553 0.180377 0.302593 0.509575 0.848384 1.450114
2025-04-27 0.060398 0.105135 0.179548 0.312936 0.547851 0.947687 1.686908
2025-05-04 0.055878 0.100740 0.178019 0.321561 0.583781 1.046708 1.935434
2025-05-11 0.051006 0.095027 0.173387 0.323881 0.608413 1.128290 2.162390
2025-05-18 0.046062 0.088517 0.166462 0.320952 0.622680 1.192183 2.363683
2025-05-25 0.040935 0.080998 0.156735 0.311393 0.622882 1.229189 2.516779
2025-06-01 0.038495 0.078478 0.156349 0.320284 0.660998 1.345405 2.847062
2025-06-08 0.035420 0.074317 0.152288 0.321338 0.683526 1.433587 3.132179
2025-06-15 0.033185 0.071587 0.150731 0.327266 0.716757 1.547463 3.487126
2025-06-22 0.030089 0.066638 0.143972 0.321190 0.723248 1.605117 3.725118
2025-06-29 0.027602 0.062709 0.138908 0.318154 0.735972 1.677674 4.006532
2025-07-06 0.025673 0.059788 0.135694 0.318858 0.757214 1.771742 4.350996
2025-07-13 0.024911 0.059452 0.138217 0.333133 0.811969 1.949708 4.922660
2025-07-20 0.023984 0.058613 0.139476 0.344536 0.861215 2.120572 5.500145
2025-07-27 0.022992 0.057495 0.139943 0.354046 0.906952 2.288445 6.093157
2025-08-03 0.021658 0.055372 0.137744 0.356603 0.935382 2.416562 6.599338
2025-08-10 0.020117 0.052545 0.133491 0.353373 0.948372 2.506743 7.015615